Final results!
see you next season!

Player Entries    |    Ranking History    |    Rules

check out the Twisted Certainty Contest

playerrankexpected
score
current
score
best caseworst caseCPs left
Obveeus119451945194519450
Sheep219401940194019400
B.N.319381938193819380
number6419231923192319230
shawn518621862186218620
Maybe618601860186018600
BoBo718481848184818480
Gene817751775177517750
Nathan917631763176317630
-L.1016861686168616860
Zeppo1116401640164016400
Seth R1216171617161716170
rebar_K1315881588158815880
Lady Luck1415761576157615760
David H1515681568156815680
Steven L1615401540154015400
Gail1715301530153015300
Rick1815251525152515250
AGGREGATE1517.71517.71517.71517.70
Dr. Buzzard1915001500150015000
CoBeachbum--15001500150015000
Eric2114801480148014800
Hunter Rose2214751475147514750
Kim2314681468146814680
Jason W2414581458145814580
Paucle2514101410141014100
Marilyn2614001400140014000
Dubya--14001400140014000
Roarmeister--14001400140014000
traveler2913951395139513950
Tom K3013671367136713670
John H3113651365136513650
Keyboard Fungus3213551355135513550
Newton Wai3313531353135313530
PecaFan3413151315131513150
Oddsmaker3513111311131113110
Ar Q3613091309130913090
Aloha RW3712841284128412840
Ed Stasiak3812401240124012400
Lord Luckier3912151215121512150
JD4011101110111011100
Mr. Coin419929929929920
playerrankexpected
score
current
score
best caseworst caseCPs left

NOTES:
1. Expected score is the midpoint between your best case and worst case scores. This stat is your average score given all possible permutations of available outcomes in the actual show. This is mathematically the best representation of your current status in the Certainty Contest. Once you have spent all of your CPs, your expected score will be equal to your final score.
2. Rank is the weekly ordering of players based on their expected scores. The player with the highest expected score has a rank of 1, and so on down the line. A rank of "--" indicates a tie (same rank) with the previous player.
3. The yellow row indicates the aggregate, a false entry made by averaging all players' CP assignments. This false entry's stats are calculated the same way as for regular entries. You can get a rough idea of how "average" you are by your proximity to the aggregate.
4. The pink rows indicate random entries that you can use to measure how well you are doing in comparison to blind luck. Lady Luck is a somewhat conservative random entry, assigning CPs to many entries, while Lord Luckier has a more agressive entry that looks more like a typical entry. Mr. Coin is an additional random entry created by PecaFan.

Archives


S8: All-Stars

S9: Vanuatu

S10: Palau

S11: Guatemala

S12: Panama

S13: Cook Islands


The Certainty Contest was designed by Nathan Sanders. Feel free to adopt the rules of the contest for use in your own prediction competitions, as PecaFan has done for The Amazing Race, and as Jason Wuthrich has done for The Apprentice and for American Idol.